Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.029574 0.034145 0.039203 0.045216 0.052173 0.059975 0.069396
2026-02-08 0.022161 0.028109 0.035338 0.044783 0.056822 0.071679 0.091458
2026-02-15 0.017735 0.024159 0.032547 0.044329 0.060497 0.081978 0.112809
2026-02-22 0.015139 0.021862 0.031172 0.045046 0.065283 0.093856 0.137505
2026-03-01 0.012976 0.019698 0.029487 0.044838 0.068435 0.103548 0.160162
2026-03-08 0.011066 0.017557 0.027437 0.043646 0.069750 0.110446 0.179297
2026-03-15 0.009524 0.015725 0.025550 0.042343 0.070554 0.116442 0.197556
2026-03-22 0.008653 0.014827 0.024983 0.043017 0.074536 0.127882 0.226143
2026-03-29 0.007839 0.013903 0.024230 0.043233 0.077691 0.138214 0.254071
2026-04-05 0.007122 0.013046 0.023469 0.043301 0.080530 0.148245 0.282666
2026-04-12 0.006566 0.012402 0.022993 0.043795 0.084156 0.160052 0.316036
2026-04-19 0.006154 0.011969 0.022840 0.044850 0.088930 0.174513 0.356378
2026-04-26 0.005479 0.010962 0.021510 0.043508 0.088935 0.179917 0.379640
2026-05-03 0.005003 0.010291 0.020753 0.043211 0.091010 0.189709 0.413412
2026-05-10 0.004571 0.009655 0.019989 0.042797 0.092769 0.199033 0.447430
2026-05-17 0.004293 0.009307 0.019768 0.043494 0.096972 0.214011 0.495998
2026-05-24 0.003964 0.008809 0.019173 0.043294 0.099158 0.224827 0.536505
2026-05-31 0.003593 0.008173 0.018207 0.042144 0.099034 0.230415 0.565405
2026-06-07 0.003253 0.007570 0.017246 0.040886 0.098491 0.234948 0.592341
2026-06-14 0.003084 0.007340 0.017104 0.041537 0.102589 0.250960 0.650212
2026-06-21 0.002899 0.007053 0.016795 0.041745 0.105622 0.264747 0.704306
2026-06-28 0.002721 0.006762 0.016446 0.041811 0.108301 0.277976 0.758802
2026-07-05 0.002582 0.006551 0.016267 0.042288 0.112100 0.294535 0.824722